Former Member of Parliament for Kubungu, Ras Mubarak, has dismissed Global InfoAnalytics’ latest polling on the National Democratic Congress’ (NDC) 2028 flagbearer race, arguing that the findings do not reflect the sentiments of party delegates and that any credible survey must place Chief of Staff Julius Debrah among the frontrunners.
In a social media post, Mubarak drew a parallel with the Ayawaso East NDC parliamentary primary held earlier this year, in which he said polling by Mussa Dankwah, the Executive Director of Global InfoAnalytics, failed to predict the eventual outcome. “Just like in the Ayawaso East by-election, where I had extensive behind-the-scenes discussions with Baba Jamal, the polls failed to reflect the reality on the ground,” Mubarak wrote. “Mussa was wrong then. Insha Allah, he will be proven wrong again.”
He added that any NDC flagbearer poll that does not feature Debrah as a leading candidate should be treated with considerable scepticism.
The latest Global InfoAnalytics tracking data, drawn from a survey of 12,472 voters conducted in the first quarter of 2026 using face-to-face, telephone and online interviews, shows Finance Minister Dr Cassiel Ato Forson and Education Minister Haruna Iddrisu tied at the head of the field. National Democratic Congress (NDC) Chairman Johnson Asiedu Nketia trails closely in third place. Debrah does appear in the survey but ranks outside the top three, a decline from earlier rounds of polling in which the Chief of Staff recorded double-digit support.
Dankwah has previously defended his methodology and rejected calls from political circles to suspend the surveys. He said the quarterly tracking polls represent standard practice for his organisation and that suspending them under political pressure would undermine their credibility and independence.
Mubarak did not provide data to support his assessment of Debrah’s standing among delegates, though he framed his view as based on direct engagement on the ground within the party.
The NDC’s 2028 flagbearer contest remains several years away and no candidate has formally declared an intention to contest. President John Dramani Mahama is constitutionally barred from seeking a further term after completing his current mandate.
