The Member of Parliament (MP) for Manhyia South has dismissed a new poll showing a sharp decline in support for the New Patriotic Party (NPP), arguing that current data offers no reliable forecast of how the 2028 general elections will unfold.
Nana Agyei Baffour Awuah, speaking on Oyerepa FM, challenged the weight being placed on the Global InfoAnalytics tracking survey released by its Executive Director Mussa Dankwah, which shows NPP party affiliation falling to 25 percent in March 2026 from 37 percent recorded before the 2024 elections, while the National Democratic Congress (NDC) has risen to 46 percent from 33 percent over the same period.
The lawmaker argued that Ghanaian electoral history does not support reading such mid-term figures as predictors of long-term outcomes. “History does not support these polls. The NDC was unattractive in 2016, yet they went on to win the 2024 elections,” he said.
Baffour Awuah acknowledged that the findings highlight internal work the party must undertake but stopped short of treating them as a sign of irreversible decline. “The results do not necessarily mean the NPP will lose the 2028 elections. It just shows we have a lot to do as a party,” he said. “There are ups and downs, but it does not mean we are going to lose the 2028 elections. We are not discouraged.”
The MP expressed confidence in the party’s capacity to reposition itself before the next electoral cycle. “Even taking history into consideration, all is not lost. The NPP shall rise,” he added.
The Global InfoAnalytics survey, conducted between March 5 and March 23, 2026, also recorded particularly steep figures for the NPP in key battleground areas. In Greater Accra, Central and Western regions, considered critical swing territory, only 22 percent of respondents identified with the NPP compared to 58 percent for the NDC. The poll does not include published methodology details, including sample size or margin of error, in the materials publicly shared. NewsGhana requested those details from Global InfoAnalytics for verification.
Dankwah attributed the NPP’s declining numbers to recent internal developments, specifically pointing to the party’s presidential primaries and public controversies around cocoa pricing as contributing factors, describing the current political environment as remaining challenging for the opposition.
The NPP is currently rebuilding its structures and membership base following its defeat in the December 2024 elections, with a newly elected flagbearer expected to lead the party’s recovery effort toward 2028.
